SIBERIAN EXPRESS COMING TO EUROPE

Do you have friends in Europe? I hope they brought big coats, gloves, hats, umbrellas, and if they live their snow shovels.  A Siberian cold wave is coming East and it’s going to put a lot of countries in the deep freeze. I’m talking anywhere from -18 to -20 degrees below normal. Look at Italy? Even the southern parts will feel like they live in the Italian Alps. Look at Greece. The Parthenon will be frozen solid. They might even get snow showers in Athens.

In the British Isles, there is a threat of upwards of a foot of snow up into Scotland and even a good chunk of IRELAND. Yes, the  my Irish might will get a  belt of  Guinness hunkering down in their thatched roof houses but have to go out and shovel that white stuff. They won’t know what to do with it!

This is in part of the strong blocking that has already started further north, but like how we get shots of cold air from Canada this is Europe’s version of the deep freeze courtesy of Siberia.

 

Siberian

PLANTING SEASON HAS ARRIVED

Planting-Zone-7 PLANT NOW! That’s the word. Depending on where you live planting is a year around chore for farmers and regular urban planters.  In our “ZONE” according to a map on the site, ufseeds.com now is a good time to start. On deck for February are peas, broccoli, and cauliflower.  And since the soil has been enriched with all this rain we’ve been having this month it is nice and saturated.  And more is on the way for this weekend. Now, if you are like most urban planters and you wait until the winter frost has waned than most veggies are ripe to be planted. Kale looks like you can plant anytime except for the middle parts of the summer. Yet, to get good Kale get it into the ground early.  So, rush out and buy those seeds. The ground is awaiting your gifts to it! :}

WINTER NOT OVER DESPITE WARMTH

Is winter over? The short answer is “NO”. Obviously, with Saturday night’s little surprise snow event, you can’t say definitively anything is over. On Tuesday it will be 70 and Wednesday it will be 75. Anyone would say that. However, it’s looking more like we have another full month of old man winter.

The Set-Up: Believe it or not, the next two weeks are the prep stages for an interesting March. Last weekend there was a stratospheric warming event or SWE. This is where the Polar Vortex was literally split into two parts. This was to create a spilling of cold air into the United States. Yet, that takes time. It’s cold in the Mid-West. Even though it was going to be above normal here in the East the cold air is seeping back into the western part of the country and slowly coming this way.

Negative NAO:  A negative NAO is an atmospheric teleconnection which when positive doesn’t create blocking in the atmosphere over Greenland. Thus, when winter storms come into our region they come and go. There is nothing to slow them down and allows them to, in a sense, miss us or not contain any cold air that is around long enough.  In the next few weeks, the NAO is going to go severely negative. When it goes negative it allows blocking up north.  It also sustains the cold weather longer.

Thus, it sets up the possibility of a potential storm in the East that even though we are in March it doesn’t matter.  Now, it doesn’t guarantee one but it provides a set-up where we get our most significant storms and sometimes historic storms.

We shall see if March comes in like a lion!

 

Block
NEGATIVE NAO: A Negative NAO is a blocking pattern in the atmosphere over Greenland that allows storms to slowly ride up the East Coast and allows for colder air to be entrenched for longer periods of time. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LIVING ON THE FALL LINE: WINTER IN THE I-95 CORRIDOR

Snow

Oh, to live on the FALL LINE! Isn’t it fun with systems like this? It’s a fact of life for winters around here as long as anyone of us has been living here.

Essentially, the “Fall Line” is the freezing line. In any snow storm where that line sets up who gets rain and who gets snow. It’s the “Infamous” I-95 line. If you live north of the line, you will get snow. If you are below it you won’t get snow.  It’s really that simple. Now, you can be at 33-35 degrees and still get snow, but dynamic cooling has to take place during the storm in order for there to be intense snow. Also, vorticity in upward motion increases the chances of significant snow. Again, where you are above that line is significant as to who gets what.

So, tomorrow’s system is even more precarious because that rain/snow line will make all the difference between who gets mostly rain, or mainly snow, or a mix.  Don’t be surprised for there to be a surprise spot of 4 inches somewhere. However, most accumulations will be from 1-3. If your well north of the line, it probably will be all snow. Yet, this is a quick hitter. It will be GONE in under 7 hours tomorrow night.

Start Time: 4PM-5PM

End Time: 1 AM

Heaviest Period: 8pm-1AM