My hair is grayer. My eyes are heavy. I’ve looked at hundreds of pieces of data today and I’ve made this conclusion: NOTHING HAS CHANGED THAT IS CHANGING MY MIND. The toughest part of this storm is where the thermal gradient for all snow, snow/mix, or all rain is like finding a needle that’s been buried deep in the desert sands of the Sahara.
So, when you see this map there is a BUST potential that is significant. I’m going against the grain of the almighty National Weather Service who downgraded us to a Winter Weather Advisory. I don’t care. They may be seeing models. I see meteorology. So, IF I BUST at least I’ve kept my dignity (ha, ha). Here we go:
NORTHERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY: Mostly ALL SNOW but there will be some mixing concerns. IF there is very little mixing we could get as much as 8 inches. IF there is a lot of mixing we could end up with 3. Right now, I’m going with my call of 4 to 8 inches in the Blue Area. Some could get more. Some could get less. The closer you are to the PA line the better with this storm.
CENTRAL NEW CASTLE COUNTY: Snow but you could be mixing longer since your further south and thermal gradients are closer. You could get more warming layers. So, if you get nothing but wet snow for 3 hours in the middle of the day there is no shot of hitting the high end of the numbers. I’m going with 2-4 in the Red areas.
SOUTHERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY: Snow, but LOTS of mixing. Actually, you could see mixing well past the afternoon hours before the storm wraps us and leaves a bust of a coating to one inch. I’m going with 1-2 but my confidence is lower here. Bust potential is high in the Green areas.
FROM KENT COUNTY ACROSS THE LINE DOWN TO THE BEACHES NOTHING. SORRY. NOT YOUR STORM.
NO FACEBOOK LIVE TONIGHT. TOO TIRED AND AT THIS POINT WE ARE PAST THE NUANCES OF THE MODELS. IT IS WHAT IT WILL BE! ADIOS