The Madden-Julian Oscillation which determines the eastward propagation of storms from Asia to the Pacific will be entering into the “Circle of Death” after spending some time in Phase 7 which is a neutral zone indicating probable transition into either a colder phase like 8-9-1-2. Yet, all ensembles are pointing inward towards the circle which means it has NO influence on weather patterns.
Likewise, our teleconnections which have been horrible ALL winter are indicating that winter is just simply dead in the Eastern 2/3 of the country. There is no ridging (-PNA), there is no high block in Greenland (+NAO) and no cold air (+EPO). And this goes through the 5th of March. And if you add in all of the other factors not favoring anything significant in the East like a coastal storm as we are going into March, then it’s all over folks.
Winter 2019-20 is dead. Adios!