I know. We have just experienced two Nor’easters in two weeks and you are probably crying UNCLE at this point. Yet, it’s getting increasingly likely we might have to go through this one more time this coming weekend Sunday into Monday. And this one, if all the elements come together right this one could end the winter season with quite the bang.
And I don’t want to hype anything, but as you can see in the graphic above this one takes a scary track. A shortwave drops from the Pacific NW into the plains. It dives down to the Gulf, picks up moisture and then heads right for the coast. And there is still a block to the north although it isn’t super strong is strong enough to pool some cold air into the East Coast region. There is a noticeable ridge in the Pacific. In the graphic, you can clearly see the bulge. This helps the trough dig into the Gulf states where it picks up moisture. Now, the day to day runs of the EURO has been showing it sliding it off the East Coast to the south with no harm, no foul. Yet, the ensembles of both the GFS and EURO have been showing a big storm around the March 12th-13th time period. The GFS has been showing something more consistent day to day and on their ensembles as well. Again, a suspicion that if the EURO picks up on the radar in the coming days we could be dealing with our THIRD Nor’easter in as many weeks and the potential for an end of winter event that would certainly cap a wild, willy, and wacky Winter 2017-2018.
To be continued!
I’m staying away from amounts. It’s too haphazard anymore so I’m giving you the general P-type throughout the event Tuesday night into Wednesday. Amounts right now range from 1-10. I’m not kidding about the high range either: