UPDATE: Well, Good Morning Delaware! HAPPY  SPRING! 

We have a Major Snowstorm coming our way tonight into tomorrow. And overnight the stakes just went up a little. The whole state is in play now.  Even downstate near the beaches where we thought it would be mostly white rain is now in the picture of at least 2-4 inches of snow. 

We have a Winter Storm Warning posted. That means “RUN!” No, just hunker down and enjoy the ride tomorrow. Stay inside, warm, and cozy! More details later. Have a great day!

NEW CASTLE COUNTY (TALLEYVILLE to SMYRNA) +6-10 inches of mostly snow. Localized spots could see upwards of a foot of snow. 

KENT COUNTY (SMYRNA TO GEORGETOWN) +4 to 6 inches of mostly snow but you might take longer to change over to snow due to temperatures at the onset of the storm. Localized spots could see up to 8 inches. 

SUSSEX COUNTY (GEORGETOWN TO THE BEACHES) +2 to 4 inches. You might struggle to reach the higher end but places away from the beaches could see the 4+. 

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SOUTHERN SLIDER: STORM #1

UPDATE: This is for the first system Monday night into Tuesday. Now, we will be dealing with moderate temperatures to start. So, unless it comes down hard Monday night we won’t have a lot of accumulation Tuesday morning. Yet, as the system starts to intensify heading off the coast we will pick up additional accumulation but it will be slushy snow. Tuesday night we could get some additional accumulation as the system pulls in colder air.  So, in general, a slushy 1-4 inches down to Dover. Messy. CONFIDENCE METER: LOW   BUST METER: HIGH

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FIRST STORM MONDAY-TUESDAY

 

 

WE MIGHT HAVE TO DO THIS AGAIN!

I know. We have just experienced two Nor’easters in two weeks and you are probably crying UNCLE at this point. Yet, it’s getting increasingly likely we might have to go through this one more time this coming weekend Sunday into Monday. And this one, if all the elements come together right this one could end the winter season with quite the bang.

And I don’t want to hype anything, but as you can see in the graphic above this one takes a scary track. A shortwave drops from the Pacific NW into the plains.  It dives down to the Gulf, picks up moisture and then heads right for the coast. And there is still a block to the north although it isn’t super strong is strong enough to pool some cold air into the East Coast region. There is a noticeable ridge in the Pacific. In the graphic, you can clearly see the bulge.  This helps the trough dig into the Gulf states where it picks up moisture. Now, the day to day runs of the EURO has been showing it sliding it off the East Coast to the south with no harm, no foul. Yet, the ensembles of both the GFS and EURO have been showing a big storm around the March 12th-13th time period. The GFS has been showing something more consistent day to day and on their ensembles as well. Again, a suspicion that if the EURO picks up on the radar in the coming days we could be dealing with our THIRD Nor’easter in as many weeks and the potential for an end of winter event that would certainly cap a wild, willy, and wacky Winter 2017-2018.

To be continued!

 

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500 Millibar chart showing a shortwave diving into the Gulf states then shooting right off the coast. This would create big snows just about for everyone, or it could be a non-event that ends the Winter 2017-18 Season. Yikes! 

 

 

THE BEAST HAS ARRIVED!

The storm is right on track. Righ now, we are in the heaviest banding. From now until about 3 or 4 snowfall rates will equate about an inch an hour. I’ve taken a GOES picture of the storm. It’s off the coast of NJ and the Delmarva. The GFS was oh so wrong. It’s further east and colder solution as modeled by the EURO and NAM. So, enjoy! I’ll make a video very soon.

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